This year's Hurricane Preparedness Week comes to an end Saturday. Forecasters are once again looking for a very active storm season. This comes after 2010 predictions for a much higher than normal hurricane season provided little more than embarrassment for forecasters. Nobody ever said understanding atmospheric physics was easy. The La Ninas and North Atlantic Oscillations may be in place. Thttp://www.blogger.com/img/blank.gifhe computer models and http://www.blogger.com/img/blank.giftheir fifty years of climatological data may agree nicely. Obviously, the best brains and their technology are no match for Gaia, but is anyone surprised?
That brings us to the upcoming storm season. Though we may laugh at the folly of the 2010 predictions, we must acknowledge the danger each season brings as well as the limitations of our best forecasting. If you live in hurricane country, check out what the National Weather Service has to say this week. Readers may also be interested in Dr. William Gray's forecast developed by his Tropical Meteorological Project at Colorado State University.
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