Thursday, December 30, 2010

The Absurd Concept Of "Settled Science"

As a historical geographer, OTR studied a variety of earth sciences including geology and geomorphology, hydrology, meteorology and climate, and biology. His training left him with an appreciation of science as a methodology for exploring our world. Under the right circumstances, where variables are understood and controlled, the same methodology can lead to a replication of results and statistically significant predictions.

Scale is an important variable in this pursuit. It is one thing to develop a formula for the mechanics of scree slope formation and quite another to prove a world climate model. Those who are familiar with the National Hurricane Center's forecast model ensemble recognize immediately that there is no such thing as "settled science" when it comes to hurricane prediction. OTR believes this conclusion casts serious doubt on world climate science. No doubt the climate is ever-changing. It's just a bit complicated defining if, when, where and how that change is "settled."

S. Fred Singer has more to say on this subject in Tuesday's Washington Times. He is an environmental scientist at the University of Virginia and former director of the United States Weather Satellite Service.

Hat tip to William Katz at Urgent Agenda who has some comment on climate and the mainstream media that readers will find interesting.

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